Finance, War, and the Rule of Rogue Law

Something like a privatised global constitution governs financial relationships affecting the life prospects of everyone on the planet. Not only does this entrench the pursuit of interests that run counter to social justice, ecological sustainability, and even real economic productivity.[1] It is implicated in a further, fundamental and all-encompassing, problem. War.

I want to explore the connection, but, first, why speak of a privatised constitution? As Katharina Pistor shows, the very existence of finance has the form of a set of legal contracts underwritten by legal norms and institutionalized means of enforcing them.[2] A critical problem, for the vast majority of us, is that the people with most power over the financial system are the least bound by any socially or politically mandated norms. A global rule of law relating to finance is determined by a kind of supra-political order that itself has no constitutional oversight. An essentially private constitution, created and imposed by a global elite, circumvents and subverts the politics of states and the will of peoples. Gunther Teubner points out that this neoliberal world order has a stratum of constitutional norms that provide transnational corporations with unlimited latitude for action;[3] Turkuler Isiksel highlights how private corporations’ investors’ rights can even colonise human rights regimes.[4] With more than three thousand international investment agreements in effect around the world, private corporations can sue signatory states in order to protect their interests in those states’ own territories. These disputes are heard in legal venues above the jurisdictional authority of states, mostly under the auspices of the International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID). As the ‘investment’ dimension of ‘trade and investment’ agreements comes to involve ever more egregious shifts of power from democratically legitimate authorities to private corporate actors, private rights are even effectively able to trump human rights.[5] From the standpoint of public concern, this looks like the rule of law gone rogue.

The privatised global constitution has taken shape in a period of intense and protracted warfare in many places around the world. The international banking system demonstrated remarkable resilience even throughout World War 2 and has continued to do so during the many further conflicts since.[6] The fact that the banking system is compatible with intense and persistent warfare can be regarded, I think, as demonstrated. The privatised financial constitution has not only survived but seems possibly even to have flourished in these circumstances. This could suggest a lack of incentive on the part of the financial elite to support measures to prevent or contain wars. Once we acknowledge that concern, we face a possibility that is more disturbing still: it could be that those who control the financial system have an active interest in the perpetuation of warfare.

Finance and war are interrelated in three quite general respects: finance needs to be raised in order to fund war; war can be used for the pillage that replenishes finance; war can serve as an outlet for the capital on which finance can draw profits, in particular through arms manufacture and its associated businesses. Those functions can be mutually reinforcing.

Let us consider some more specific connections between the way the global financial architecture is governed and particular wars of the present epoch. Elite financial interests, we know, do not necessarily align with those of states: the Germans, British and Americans, for instance, maintained banking cooperation even throughout World War 2 under the auspices of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). On the other hand, states that set themselves apart from the dominant system of global financial governance under the BIS do seem to find themselves embroiled in wars that are not typically of their choosing. This correlation applies to a number of states upon which war has been visited in recent years, including Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria and Yemen; the correlation also holds for other countries that have been subject to economic sanctions by the United States – like Iran, Venezuela, North Korea, and Cuba. A further distinguishing feature of those named countries is resistance to accepting the continuance of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency.

Correlation is not causation, of course, but it is worth looking at a little more closely. Regarding the war on Iraq, for instance, we know this was not genuinely motivated by concerns about weapons of mass destruction.[7] Many critics have suggested it was motivated by corporate oil interests in the territory, but William Clark has added the more specific suggestion that it was as much, if not more, an oil currency war.[8] Support for this suggestion has also come from Karen Kwiatkowsky, formerly of the US Air Force, who was privy to military intelligence. Speaking in 2004, she noted the significance of the fact that in the year 2000, Saddam Hussein had switched Iraq’s oil sales from the dollar to the euro under the UN Food for Oil programme. Although the oil sales under that programme were relatively small, if sanctions were lifted, then ‘sales from the country with the second largest oil reserves on the planet would have been moving to the euro’, and ‘that could cause massive, almost glacial, shifts in confidence in trading on the dollar.’[9] Tyler Shipley similarly argues that at the crux of the Iraq war was the drive to maintain hegemony of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency.[10]

As Rohini Hensman and Marinella Correggia explain, due the dollar’s status, currency that the rest of the world has to work and often even suffer to attain, the US has simply to print.[11] So the US can rack up debts to an extent that no other country could. The downside for the US is that doing so has permitted the productivity of its national economy to decline to an extent that has perhaps not been fully appreciated. If the dollar were to lose its world reserve status, the supply of dollars worldwide would then so exceed demand that the lack of collateral would be exposed, thereby prompting a devaluation whose consequences could be catastrophic. The multiple business advantages of maintaining high military spending thus include the direct curtailing of attempts by resistant nations to undermine the status of the dollar.

Not only with Iraq, but with Libya too, there are suggestions that control of the monetary system may have been a motivating factor for the war. Kwiatkowski tells how she had drafted intelligence reports on the success of Libya’s assiduous efforts in recent years to regain the respect of the international community. Her reports, however, were then edited to the point of falsification.[12] This was done, she said, in order that her masters ‘could present their case on Libya in a way that said it was still a threat to its neighbors and that Libya was still a belligerent, antagonistic force.’[13] Following the onset of hostilities, it so transpired that Libya became the site of a very remarkable event whose oddity is hardly explicable except in the light of the above line of analysis.

In early 2011, when the opposition forces in Libya appeared to be in a state of some desperation and disarray,[14] there came the somewhat incongruous report that these rebels were establishing a new central bank. Robert Wenzel, writing at the time in the Economic Policy Journal (28 March 2011), did not conceal his amazement: ‘Here’s one for the Guinness Book of Records. The Libyan rebels in Benghazi said they have created a new national oil company to replace the corporation controlled by leader Muammar Qaddafi whose assets were frozen by the United Nations Security Council and have formed a central bank!’ From this, Wenzel inferred that we were finding here ‘some pretty sophisticated influences’. It was unprecedented for a central bank to be created ‘in just a matter of weeks out of a popular uprising.’[15] As CNBC senior editor John Carney reflected, this was probably ‘the first time a revolutionary group has created a central bank while it is still in the midst of fighting the entrenched political power’ and it ‘certainly seems to indicate how extraordinarily powerful central bankers have become in our era.’[16]

The case of Libya not only suggests some international coordination and planning, but also provides an indication of what passes for legitimacy in this world of interventionism. The rebels had literally broken into the Benghazi bank in March 2011, and when interviewed about it, their U.S.-educated finance minister, Ali Tarhouni, said: ‘“Let me put it this way: We robbed our own bank”. He went on to explain that ‘the bank heist serves as an illustration of the rebels’ ingenuity, wherewithal and organizational skills. It’s proof, he said, that they are ready to run the nation.’[17] It appears, then, that, with the support of the US, favoured rebel leaders can treat entire nations as if existing in a state of nature with respect to the law. The justification offered in the case of Libya, as in so many others, was supposedly ‘humanitarian’; yet, as we have noted, this was based on a falsification of facts. Certainly, no genuine humanitarian motivation is manifest in bombing entire countries to destruction, or in supporting the overthrow of existing state institutions without having any clear plan for establishing either a better constitutional order or improved political leadership. And that criticism does not even touch on more basic questions about the criteria for any legitimate external intervention in a sovereign state’s affairs.

But why is it that certain ‘regimes’ become ripe for imperial subversion or overthrow? What was it, in particular, that linked together the list of countries that retired general Wesley Clark shared in his famous 2007 interview as being next in the sights of the United States’ bellicose intentions and most of which since have indeed been plunged into horrendous wars?[18] Clark professed himself, like his reported source, to be stumped as to the reason. If the strategic objective was not obvious even to senior military figures, then it seems to me that we cannot rule out the kind of motivation that we have seen circumstantial evidence for both in Iraq and Libya. It is quite possible that a number of economic and geopolitical interests converge in motivating the policy concerned, and quite possible that concerns about perceived threats to the dollar as global reserve currency are among them.

We have noted the congruence of motives regarding dollar hegemony and control of oil markets, but the case of Libya alerts us to a further possible dimension of financial interests in war. For it might be asked how allowing the rebels to get control of Libya’s oil and wealth benefits the global financial elite.  Was a larger purpose for their backers served? Although not mentioned much by western politicians or media, it could be a significant fact that the Central Bank of Libya was 100% state owned. An analysis that found resonance at the time was Eric Encina’s argument that the world’s ‘globalist financiers and market manipulators’ could not stand the Libyan monetary authority’s independence, for the government still created its own money, the Libyan Dinar, through its own central bank. ‘One major problem for globalist banking cartels is that in order to do business with Libya, they must go through the Libyan Central Bank and its national currency, a place where they have absolutely zero dominion or power-broking ability.’[19] As Ellen Brown observes, it is this monetary and financial independence that would explain, inter alia, ‘where Libya gets the money to provide free education and medical care and to issue each young couple $50,000 in interest-free state loans.’[20] Kwiatkowsky and others have also observed that whatever the faults of the former Libyan government, its deployment of finance in the public interest appears to have been impressive. That this arrangement should so eagerly be replaced by a US-backed band of rebels clearly presents a scenario of a kind that a global constitution for monetary governance might want to consider avoiding.

Nor is Libya an isolated case of this kind. Similar conflicts of interest appear to apply with regard to Iran, another part of what George W. Bush referred to as the ‘Axis of Evil’, a group of countries each of which had an independent central bank and a stance of resistance in the face of what they regarded as US imperialism.[21] Their resistance includes looking at ways of avoiding being bound in with the dollar. Iran has been actively exploring alternatives since at least 2002 and has taken various significant steps to that end, including establishing its own oil bourse that trades in non-dollar currencies. Meanwhile, it has remained firmly committed to the principle that the Central Bank of Iran should not fall under private control because this would not benefit the Iranian people over the long run. The United States has responded with sanctions, and commentators have suggested that their unstated aims specifically include ‘shutting down Iran’s central bank’.[22] At the time of writing, Iran has not become the subject of a war, although the threats and drumbeating are now quite intense.

And then there is Syria. Syria’s Central Bank is state-owned and state-controlled with a mission to serve the national economy and the Syrian people. It is not beholden to the international banking class,[23] and nor is it therefore subject, through having to deal with the IMF and World Bank, to the ‘usurious loans generating artificial debt crises by which [other] nations are in effect enslaved’ (‘Syrian Girl’ 2012).[24] It is certainly striking that, despite more than six years of warfare and economic sanctions, the country’s administration and army retain the practical cooperation of the wider population; and although the country’s finances and infrastructure are under massive strain, provision of public services is as far as possible maintained, including salaries in opposition-held areas. The practical message sent by the Syrian people through their astounding resilience is that whatever improvement needs to be made to their constitution, and whatever they may in due course decide is the best way to reform the political administration of the country, this will be their decision. To be noted, moreover, is that no part of the domestic political opposition – secular or jihadist – has been arguing for a more capitalist or globalist constitution; nor have they been ideologically committed to integrating Syria into the privatised constitutional arrangements of the foreign powers that have been pressing their regime change agenda.

It is not only in the Middle East and North Africa region that we find countries that are resistant to global finance and are also in the crosshairs of bellicose intentions. North Korea, for instance, in shifting towards the Euro for the pricing of its oil may not have the same material impact as Iraq and Iran, but it does have symbolic significance. Venezuela, with its vast oil reserves, presents both a symbolic and material challenge with its moves to detach its trade in them from the dollar. With Arab nations more generally starting to look at Euros to replace the dollar, and Russians and China doing so too, the threat to the dollar’s status as global reserve currency is evidently becoming increasingly serious. It could be argued that what the US has been doing in recent decades, with the continued printing of dollars without creating corresponding real assets, is inflating the mother of all bubbles. If the dollar were to lose its world reserve currency status, its price would collapse and that bubble would burst. The immediate results could be catastrophic for the US, we may assume, and very likely create a severe global crisis. So a determination of capitalist world leaders to stave it off by any means necessary would not be inexplicable.

The role of the central bank system under the BIS is inextricably linked with that system. Those countries whose central banks are within it are structurally beholden to it; and the preservation of the dollar’s hegemony is functional for it. The countries that stand outside these arrangements may or may not present serious material challenges to the dominant order of things, but their persistence could be a cause of concern for its leaders.

Yet if we look at this matter from the perspective of a public, and shared human, concern about the welfare of human beings around the planet, and about the condition of the biosphere itself – including our nonhuman cohabitors – one is bound to think that the countries of resistance may come closer to providing a model of a sustainable and just future than those that are bought into the idea of a ‘progressive’ liberal democracy taking over the world.

It seems to me, in fact, that some of us may have laboured too long under certain illusions about liberalism and liberal democracy. Why assume, for instance, that neo-liberalism is an aberration with respect to liberal business as usual, or that liberal interventionism is genuinely an ethical alternative to outright neo-conservative warmongering? Anybody who looks dispassionately at the cause of the wars of the past two decades and at the arguments used to perpetuate them – under administrations of both conservative and liberal politicians – will see an essential continuity of fundamental attachment to a capitalist world system that exploits resources and the majority of people for the benefit of a tiny number. I fear that ethically intended liberal thinkers may prove to have been tragically mistaken if they believe that the existing system of monetary governance can be adapted through reform so as to yield the possibility of global justice. I see no reason to believe that real justice for the world will readily be ceded by the powers that have created the global rule of rogue law.

 

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Notes

[1] See the forthcoming book by Tim Hayward, Global Justice and Finance, from which this post is an edited extract.

[2] Katharina Pistor, ‘A Legal Theory of Finance’, Journal of Comparative Economics, 41(2) (2013): 315-330.

[3] Gunther Teubner, ‘Self-Constitutionalizing TNCs?: On the Linkage of” Private” and” Public” Corporate Codes of Conduct’, Indiana Journal of Global Legal Studies, 18(2) (2011): 617-638

[4] Turkuler Isiksel, ‘The Rights of Man and the Rights of the Man-Made: Corporations and Human Rights’, Human Rights Quarterly, 38 (2016) 294–349.

[5] This happens, if only by default, because ‘while international human rights treaties provide sparse procedural remedies and enforcement mechanisms and tend to lack direct effect within domestic systems, the rights of investors can be invoked against states before international arbitral tribunals.’ (Isiksel 2016: 308) Thanks to investor-state arbitration, investors’ rights may be the most effectively protected ‘human’ right that there is, at the global level. ‘Thus, the expansion of the rights of corporations under international law is likely to weaken the ability of sovereign states to protect the public interest at the domestic level, without a federal authority to compensate for the pernicious regulatory race to the bottom among states.’ (Isiksel 2016: 310)

[6] During the 1930s, the Bank for International Settlements was the central meeting place for central bankers, and during the second world war it accepted looted Nazi gold and foreign exchange deals for Nazi Germany. Governments in Washington and London were well aware of this, and yet it was not something they had constitutional or legal means to prevent. Nor did the British Government even do anything when the gold handed over had been deposited with the Bank of England (see Henry Glazer, ‘A Functional Approach to the International Finance Corporation’, Columbia Law Review, 57(8) (1957): pp.1089-1112). ‘Nationalities were irrelevant. The overriding loyalty was to international finance.’ (Adam Lebor, Tower of Basel: the shadowy history of the secret bank that runs the world, Public Affairs, New York, 2014 p.xix )

[7] Piers Robinson, Learning from the Chilcot report: Propaganda, deception and the ‘War on Terror’, International Journal of Contemporary Iraqi Studies, Vol 11 (2017) 47-73.

[8] William Clark, ‘The Real Reasons for the Upcoming War With Iraq: A Macroeconomic and Geostrategic Analysis of the Unspoken Truth’ (2003) http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/CLA302A.html

[9] Karen Kwiatkowsky, Quoted by Marc Cooper, ‘Soldier for the Truth’, Alternet, 24 February 2004 http://www.alternet.org/story/17952/soldier_for_the_truth.

[10] Tyler Shipley, ‘Currency Wars: Oil, Iraq and the Future of U.S. Hegemony’, Studies in Political Economy 79 (2007): 7-33.

[11] Rohini Hensman and Marinella Correggia, ‘US Dollar Hegemony: The Soft Underbelly of Empire’, Economic and Political Weekly, Vol. 40, No. 12, Money, Banking and Finance (Mar. 19-25, 2005), p.1093.

[12] Karen Kwiatkowsky, Quoted by Marc Cooper, ‘Soldier for the Truth’, Alternet, 24 February 2004 http://www.alternet.org/story/17952/soldier_for_the_truth. See also Ellen Brown, ‘Libya all about oil, or central banking?’, Asia Times 14 April 2011 http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/MD14Ak02.html

[13] Karen Kwiatkowsky http://www.alternet.org/story/17952/soldier_for_the_truth

[14] Some indicative reports around this time: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2011/mar/15/libya-rebels-last-stand-benghazi http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1366151/Libyas-war-Loyalist-forces-launch-dual-offensive-Gaddafi-bribes-opposition.html

[15] https://www.nytimes.com/2015/01/23/world/africa/libyan-fighters-seize-benghazi-branch-of-central-bank.html

[16] https://www.cnbc.com/id/42308613 ‘Libyan Rebels Form Their Own Central Bank’ CNBC 28 March 2011

[17] Washington Post 24 May 2011 https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle-east/libyans-robbed-our-own-bank-to-fund-uprising/2011/05/24/AFAPZhAH_story.html?utm_term=.7be56cc84f58 :

[18] Iraq, Syria, Somalia, Libya, Sudan, Iran and Yemen. http://www.globalresearch.ca/we-re-going-to-take-out-7-countries-in-5-years-iraq-syria-lebanon-libya-somalia-sudan-iran/5166 See also Ellen Brown, 14 April 2011 (http://empirestrikesblack.com/2011/04/libya-all-about-oil-or-all-about-banking/ ).

[19] ‘Globalists Target 100% State Owned Central Bank of Libya’ by Eric Encina http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article27208.html

[20] This is from a 2002 article in Asia Times titled “The BIS vs National Banks,” by Henry Liu.

[21] ‘When we look at the IMF-labeled ‘MENA’ region (Middle East/North Africa), which includes the US geostrategic targets of Libya, Iraq, Iran, Syria, and Yemen, we find that this is the region least integrated into the IMF/World Bank debt regime.’ (Daniel Robicheau,‘The ‘MENA’ region and the International Monetary Fund’,London Progressive Journal, 23 April 2013 http://londonprogressivejournal.com/article/view/1474) Robicheau continues: ‘Finance capitalism seeks to disintegrate and isolate states, but maybe regional state-to-state cooperation will re-emerge. Maybe internal struggles between different factions of society can be peacefully negotiated to avoid war. Only one thing is certain: The IMF, like a machine, serves the needs of the speculators and oil multinationals who seek out profits from any situation round the world. It will sink regions and countries into its debt regime to serve that purpose.’

[22] ‘The latest round of American sanctions are aimed at shutting down Iran’s central bank, a senior US official said Thursday, spelling out that intention directly for the first time’ (National Post 2012) http://nationalpost.com/news/u-s-wants-to-close-down-the-central-bank-of-iran-over-nuclear-concerns/wcm/393285b9-47df-4ff7-8b1d-1814b3ac6605 ‘“We do need to close down the Central Bank of Iran (CBI),” the official told reporters on condition of anonymity’. (The measures were in a bill signed by President Obama on 31.12.2011.) And why is that? The official reason appears to be to put pressure on Iran regarding its nuclear programme. See also the call of US senator for ‘crippling’ sanctions on Central Bank of Iran https://www.centralbanking.com/central-banking/news/2126091/senator-renews-crippling-sanctions-central-bank-iran   See also https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1363019.0

‘Why is the U.S. targeting Iran’s central bank? Well, multi-billionaire Hugo Salinas Price told King World News: What happened to Mr. Gaddafi, many speculate the real reason he was ousted was that he was planning an all-African currency for conducting trade. The same thing happened to him that happened to Saddam because the US doesn’t want any solid competing currency out there vs the dollar. You know Gaddafi was talking about a gold dinar.’ (Washingtonsblog 13 Jan 2012: http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2012/01/are-the-middle-east-wars-really-about-forcing-the-world-into-dollars-and-private-central-banking.html)

[23] The Central Bank of Syria pursues monetary policy that is committed ‘to maintain the of priority of public utility’ with a view to ensuring the financial sector serves to support ‘quality, soundness and sustainability in the national economy as a whole.’ The Syrian Central Bank website https://web.archive.org/web/20130925211813/http://www.banquecentrale.gov.sy/main-eg.htm

[24] ‘Syria, like Iran and Libya, is not beholden to the IMF/World Bank for any loans, which would seem to be an unusual phenomenon in our present era of ‘globalization’.’ (Daniel Robicheau 2013) http://londonprogressivejournal.com/article/view/1474/the-mena-region-and-the-international-monetary-fund

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22 Responses to Finance, War, and the Rule of Rogue Law

  1. Michelle says:

    Has been built into the financial DNA – there were some very close relationships between government figures, financial institutions including BIS and arms companies in the interwar period (research for Campaign Against Arms Trade project): http://armingallsides.on-the-record.org.uk/case_studies/bailing-out-the-private-sector/

  2. mato48 says:

    A great, well researched, and very important article.

    About Libya: Gaddafi’s project of the “gold dinar” did threaten the stranglehold of IMF and World Bank on African nations. Libya’s oil and the even more important huge aquifers were eyed by the former colonial power Italy. Gaddafi’s Jamahyria, based on direct democracy, the commons, equal opportunity, gender equality was a direct threat to the capitalist model.

    About Syria and Iran: This is an arid region with steadily increasing deserts. Turkey needs the water of the Euphrates River, Israel needs the water rich Golan Heights. Israel hopes to exploit oil and gas in Goan and offshore along the Mediterranean coastline.

    The US actions in MENA can also be seen from a geopolitical angel, as it is necessary to destabilize the region and embolden radical Islamists in a push north up to the Caucasus and Central Asia, where the “-stans” (Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan) and finally the southern provinces of the Russian Federation with a sizable Muslim population need to be destabilized. Russia is the ultimate price in the ongoing resource wars, rich on minerals and sparsely populated.

    Resource scarcity is one of the big threats to the capitalist system, which is wasteful and sumptuous. If Russia can be conquered, the Western neoliberal economies could keep going for at least another two decades.

    It seems, that the only way to break US-dominance and with it the global financial structures is a cataclysmic collapse or implosion of US political and economic structures. Nobody can challenge the lone superpower from outside, nobody can stand up to a war machine which accounts for 60 percent of the worlds military spending,

    The hurricanes Harvey and Irma, the ravaging forest fires, the droughts and floods are maybe starting cues, cues given by nature. Trump and chaos in Washington, unrestrained and uncontrollable spy agencies, increasing social discontent and acrimony, police brutality, and lacking infrastructure could be first cracks in the fabric.

    An economic, political, social collapse of US society will be painful and dangerous not only for US citizens, but for all humankind. One can only hope that wise women and men will be able to soften, mitigate, ease the collapse and preparations to set up alternative structures will take place in time.

    • timhayward says:

      Thanks! I see you have some great stuff on your site. I look forward to exploring it.

      • Professor Hayward,
        Thank you for making the effort to share honest perceptions about the true root cause(s) of war, the diagnostic efforts without which healing – worldwide establishment of peace – cannot occur.

        While the human spiritual dimension has been virtually ignored by economists, historians and academics of various disciplines when it comes to war and peace (perhaps for fear of negative reaction to “non-material” or unprovable theories), at some point one finds it almost impossible to exclude spirituality (specifically, absence of – see Gandhi, MLK, etc.) as one of the major factors.

        The excellent documentary film “All the Plenary’s Men” by John Titus reinforces and/or sharpens the focus of this article, revealing the immense, legally untouchable global power concentrated at the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland. If you haven’t seen the film (if you have, for the benefit of those who pass this way), people can view it for free on YouTube by going to “Best Evidence” – John Titus’ channel.

        Best regards.

      • timhayward says:

        Thanks for this, and for the film recommendation. (I haven’t seen that film yet.)

  3. Schlüter says:

    Great article! In deed besides the ongoing (and violently “defended” Dollar hegemony) the fact that societies and states are robbed of their control over the flow of capital wich has been created by their societies is at the core of the problem. And such institutions like the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank are driving the US (Neocon dominated) Power Elite nuts!
    „Geo-Politics: The Core of Crisis and Chaos and the Nightmares of the US Power Elite“ https://wipokuli.wordpress.com/2016/08/01/geo-politics-the-core-of-crisis-and-chaos-the-nightmares-of-the-us-power-elite/
    Keep it up!

  4. Guano says:

    “The justification offered in the case of Libya, as in so many others, was supposedly ‘humanitarian’; yet, as we have noted, this was based on a falsification of facts. Certainly, no genuine humanitarian motivation is manifest in bombing entire countries to destruction, or in supporting the overthrow of existing state institutions without having any clear plan for establishing either a better constitutional order or improved political leadership.”

    This is a key point. Regime change cannot be humanitarian because the strong risk of regime change is that it creates a failed state, which will almost certainly lead to bad humanitarian outcomes. In fact, when there was discussion in the early 1990s about humanitarian military interventions, the objective was to try to prevent the failed states that were being created by civil conflicts: outside military intervention in the “small wars in Africa” that were occurring at the time was supposed to reverse the slide towards ungoverned spaces where there were no public services and (in)security was provided by warlords, by freezing conflicts and starting processes of conflict-resolution and peace-building. The outcome in Iraq, Libya and Syria was failed states, with bad humanitarian outcomes and space for terrorists and warlords to operate: it isn’t possible logically for them to have been humanitarian interventions.

    Even if there had been clear plans for improved political leadership in these cases, the risk of them not working would have been high: in war, the stakes are high and the risks are great. In practice western governments appear not to have thought about how to build a new regime; they are supremely ignorant of issues of institutions and how to develop them. The result in all cases has been failed states, which are inevitably humanitarian disasters. We should have known that already of course, so the ignorance is probably deliberate.

    • timhayward says:

      Yes, from my tiny academic corner of the world, I am struck by how readily philosophers can debate justifications for intervention, with all the fundamental matters you mention being waved away with casual caveats. There is a kind of tacit complicity there, I fear, and it is probably reproduced in other corners too…

  5. Adrian D. says:

    That the role of global finance is beyond the ken of the bulk of the liberal mainstream – and I go beyond the media to include our mainstream political science and economics academics – was, I think, demonstrated comprehensively during the pre- and post-Brexit referendum ‘debates’.

    Try Googling ‘Free Movement’ and ‘Brexit’ and you’ll find pages and pages of items addressing that of people – endless to-and-fros regarding the costs or benefits of EU and other migration. Tucked away in the list you’ll likely find a few pieces regarding the advantages of the free movement of goods and services, and whether or not the UK will be able to replicate or replace these outside the EU.

    You might find the final of the ‘Four Freedoms’ mentioned in passing, usually only by way of context for the other three, however, it is the free movement of CAPITAL that is by some way the most important.

    That any kind of integration with the ‘globalised’ economy necessarily demands opening the national economy up to completely unrestricted capital flows is simply taken as a given.

    It’s what oils the wheels of the mechanisms you describe here, but it’s also the primary reason why all the debates of the pros and cons of the free movement of people, goods and services were, and are, to my mind irrelevant – free movement of capital allows all of those benefits to be hoovered up by those who control the bulk of it already.

  6. steviefinn says:

    Sums it up horribly well Tim – I suppose that the Guardian is the prime illustration media wise, of the apparent Liberal collusion with all of the above. I recall being shocked at their coverage at the beginning of the Ukrainian coup in terms of the arson attack in the Donetsk, which they completely brushed over & their reaction similar to that of the alleged sarin attacks in Syria, to the earlier MH-17 incident. All of this in tandem with a censorship of the comments section for anything that dared to question the official line, followed by the labeling of dissenters as being agents paid by Putin.

    The same line with Libya & from what I have seen, any other intervention. I have avoided the Guardian for quite sometime but noticed a ‘ No shit Sherlock ‘ article bemoaning the fact that Libya now has a slave market start up. Monbiot produces some good work on the evils of Neoliberalism, but like his employer appears to have a huge blind spot in terms of it’s root cause.

    I suppose what is worrying now is that it seems the US has run out of easy wars & ones that can be fought from inside by proxies. As someone stated the other day the nuclear deterrent lessons of Hussein & Ghaddafi have not been lost on the likes of North Korea & perhaps Iran. These states also to a certain extent have the backing of the nuclear tooled up Russia & China. I also read the other day that nuclear Pakistan is being lavishly courted by the Chinese & it seems that the Germans driven by their industrialists are increasingly looking towards the Silk road option.

    May you live in interesting times goes the Chinese curse – keep up the great work.

  7. timhayward says:

    Indeed, if only these times were not so interesting!

  8. jag37777 says:

    Hmmmm, this world reserve currency trope is not real macroeconomics. Any developed currency issuer with established institutions is in the same position.
    The UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan etc etc etc all have sovereign, fiat, non-convertible, floating exchange rate currencies. None of them have trouble attracting imports.

  9. arthurwellsley says:

    “With Arab nations more generally starting to look at Euros to replace the dollar, and Russians and China doing so too”
    This sentence contains a factual error. Since 14th August 2015 China has as an explicit policy (a) the renimbi should be a world reserve currency, and (b) oil should be traded in renimbi. Many financial commentators argue over the effect of the Chinese position. But the general consensus is that over time, and it may be quite a long time the dollar will cease to be the world’s reserve currency and it’s position will be usurped by the renimbi.

  10. GJF says:

    Political bias clouds objectivity under normal circumstances, the last two years have been an extraordinary time in US politics and bias is at an all time high, objectivity at it’s lowest levels.

    As I read your article I couldn’t help thinking of this speech made by candidate Trump. You may have seen it, you may not have seen it recently. Trump’s words aligns with much of what you’ve written but he promises to completely dismantle globalist control and re-establish US sovereignty.

    When I saw this in 2016 my interest was aroused. Since the election win, Trump has faced an unprecedented resistance to his Presidency from media, entrenched state actors (particularly the CIA and FBI ) and political opponents. When looked at from the perspective of your article, this makes complete sense. The globalist structure and the trillions of dollars they represent was never going to just sail off into a big sleep.

    As an outsider, Trump had no baggage or leveredge apart from the physical well being of his family and himself. This he has protected with the US military, military intelligence (equal to and often superior to the civilian agencies), the NSA and it’s total surveillance data and I suspect Eric Prince.

    He chose an almost ‘Rainman savant’ as Treasury Secretary in Steve Mnuchin and an ex Rothschild loot and pillage capital manager Wilbur Ross for Commerce. Together they are acting as bomb disposal experts carefully deactivating the bombs and booby traps surrounding the US economy. Simulataneously they are liberating Wall Street and sandbagging it off from Main Street. By removing the regulations on smaller banks and luring back large scale manufacturing they aim to create a two stream economy. Smaller banks will be free to finance main street, which should grow as employment returns. All while ensuring Wall St activities never impact Main St like they did in 2008. And that’s just the domestic economy. Rest assured the Trump team is working to a plan laid out well before the election.
    1/2 Cont’d.

  11. GJF says:

    2/2 cont’d
    As an avid watcher of US politics I can tell you the speech on the youtube is not political rhetoric. Trump means every word of it. It’s a sacred promise he has made with all Americans. It’s been quiet but open warfare. People have died. But right now I think the tide is about to turn in Trumps favour with a series of collapses. Geopolitically – North Korea and Iran. Domestically, the Departmernt of Justice Inspector Generals report (due May 8th) will comprehensively expose the actions of bad actors and start indictments against those who’ve turned to criminal means to resist

    It’s difficult to say this without sounding like a believer of conspiracies, however there seems ample evidence to show the next 3-5 years of globalist plans had Clinton won, would’ve resulted in a fast descent towards a super hi tech slave/surveillance state, using China as the model. With AI, robotics and autonomous mobility rendering the planet with a large excess of unemployed humans, it would seem a series of de-populating events and programs had been planned. Followed by strict State control over ‘breeding’. But this will all come to light.

    It’s exciting times. Via the US and Trumps unexpected election win, the corrupt globalist order looks like it will be comprehensively defeated. I’m helping in any small (information spread) way I can.
    Regards GJF

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